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Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Crewe Alexandra

Colchester
1 - 1
Crewe

Chilvers (35')
Kelleher (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Nevitt (90+2')
Rowe (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Colchester 1-4 Doncaster
Tuesday, April 23 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Wrexham
Saturday, April 20 at 12.30pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 2-0 Crewe Alexandra

All of the League Two contests on Saturday take place simultaneously, which means each side should feel a sense of urgency to earn a result. Despite Crewe having 26 more points than their weekend opponents, they have looked undisciplined and unhinged defensively, sometimes against mediocre sides, while Colchester have been able to keep most of their recent matches close, and that consistency should help them in this decisive encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
29.91% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 24.12% (0.0089999999999968 0.01) 45.98% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 58.63% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)43.56% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.05% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)65.95% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.49% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)27.51% (0.096999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.98% (-0.12 -0.12)63.02% (0.125 0.13)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)19.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.25% (0.0010000000000048 0)50.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 29.91%
    Crewe Alexandra 45.98%
    Draw 24.11%
Colchester UnitedDrawCrewe Alexandra
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 4.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 29.91%
1-1 @ 11.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.11%
1-2 @ 9.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.2% (0.025 0.03)
1-3 @ 5.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.12% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-4 @ 1.64% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 45.98%

How you voted: Colchester vs Crewe

Colchester United
31.3%
Draw
31.3%
Crewe Alexandra
37.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Crewe
2-1
Colchester
Long (3', 8' pen.)
Demetriou (90+3')
Tovide (53')
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Colchester
4-0
Crewe
Akinde (24', 28'), Chilvers (40'), Tovide (55')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crewe
1-0
Colchester
Agyei (80')
Mar 17, 2020 7.45pm
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Crewe
0-0
Colchester
Lowery (71'), Pickering (80'), Hunt (95')
Comley (45'), Eastman (83')
Robinson (95')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CStockport CountyStockport462711896484892
4MK Dons462391483681578
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster46218177368571
6Crewe AlexandraCrewe461914136965471
7Crawley TownCrawley46217187367670
8BarrowBarrow461815136256669
9Bradford CityBradford461912156159269
10AFC Wimbledon4617141564511365
11Walsall461811176973-465
12Gillingham461810184657-1164
13Harrogate TownHarrogate461712176069-963
14Notts County46187218986361
15Morecambe461710196781-1458
16Tranmere RoversTranmere46176236770-357
17Accrington StanleyAccrington46169216371-857
18Newport CountyNewport46167236276-1455
19Swindon TownSwindon461412207783-654
20Salford City461312216682-1651
21Grimsby Town461116195774-1749
22Colchester UnitedColchester461112235980-2145
RSutton UnitedSutton46915225984-2542
RForest Green RoversForest Green46119264478-3442


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