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Charlton Athletic
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Valley

Charlton
4 - 1
Coalville Town

Payne (24', 81'), Stockley (45+3'), Aneke (90')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Chambers (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Charlton Athletic and Coalville Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Brighton U21s
Wednesday, November 2 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Charlton Athletic 3-0 Coalville Town

Coalville have done remarkably well to get to this stage but we think this tie will be a bridge too far for them. The Valley has become somewhat of a fortress for Charlton too - they have only lost once at home so far this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 69.1%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Coalville Town had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Coalville Town win it was 1-2 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawCoalville Town
69.1% (0.090000000000003 0.09) 17.6% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 13.31% (-0.064 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.46% (-0.107 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.46% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)35.54% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.41% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)57.59% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.7% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)9.31% (-0.0089000000000006 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.6% (0.02000000000001 0.02)31.4% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Coalville Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.16% (-0.122 -0.12)38.85% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.42% (-0.116 -0.12)75.58% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 69.1%
    Coalville Town 13.31%
    Draw 17.6%
Charlton AthleticDrawCoalville Town
2-0 @ 10.19% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.58% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.07% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 7.63%
4-0 @ 4.79% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.53% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.27% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.15% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.49%
Total : 69.1%
1-1 @ 8.12% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.62% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.6%
1-2 @ 3.84% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.62% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.21% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 13.31%

How you voted: Charlton vs Coalville Town

Charlton Athletic
80.6%
Draw
6.5%
Coalville Town
12.9%
31
Form Guide
Sorry, no data available for Charlton Athletic
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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