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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 39.13%. A win for Heracles had a probability of 37.99% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.99%) and 0-2 (5.03%). The likeliest Heracles win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
Result | ||
Heracles | Draw | Heerenveen |
37.99% ( 0.87) | 22.89% ( 0.09) | 39.13% ( -0.96) |
Both teams to score 65.82% ( -0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.76% ( -0.4) | 35.24% ( 0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.74% ( -0.44) | 57.26% ( 0.44) |
Heracles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.87% ( 0.23) | 19.13% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.23% ( 0.38) | 50.77% ( -0.37) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% ( -0.59) | 18.62% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.09% ( -0.99) | 49.92% ( 1) |
Score Analysis |
Heracles | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.5% Total : 37.99% | 1-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.56% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.89% | 1-2 @ 8.32% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.66% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.68% Total : 39.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 33 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 108 | 20 | 88 | 88 |
2 | Feyenoord | 33 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 88 | 26 | 62 | 81 |
3 | FC Twente | 33 | 20 | 6 | 7 | 67 | 35 | 32 | 66 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 64 |
5 | Ajax | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 72 | 59 | 13 | 55 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 64 | 50 | 14 | 50 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 33 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 47 | 2 | 46 |
9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 43 |
10 | Heerenveen | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 37 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 37 | 56 | -19 | 37 |
12 | PEC Zwolle | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 65 | -21 | 36 |
13 | Almere CityAlmere City | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 32 | 55 | -23 | 34 |
14 | Heracles | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 32 |
15 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 |
16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 33 | 6 | 11 | 16 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 29 |
R | FC VolendamVolendam | 33 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 86 | -53 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 28 | 72 | -44 | 5 |
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