Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
40.07% ( -0.78) | 24.71% ( -0.11) | 35.22% ( 0.88) |
Both teams to score 58.62% ( 0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.53% ( 0.66) | 44.47% ( -0.66) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.16% ( 0.63) | 66.84% ( -0.64) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.84% ( -0.09) | 22.16% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% ( -0.14) | 55.55% ( 0.13) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.3% ( 0.81) | 24.7% ( -0.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.76% ( 1.13) | 59.24% ( -1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Wolfsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 40.07% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.06% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
17 | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |