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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 65.23%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.69%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | FC Koln |
65.23% | 18.95% | 15.82% |
Both teams to score 57.27% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.6% | 36.4% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.46% | 58.53% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.53% | 10.47% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.9% | 34.1% |
FC Koln Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.97% | 36.03% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.19% | 72.81% |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | FC Koln |
2-1 @ 9.81% 2-0 @ 9.61% 1-0 @ 8.51% 3-1 @ 7.38% 3-0 @ 7.23% 4-1 @ 4.16% 4-0 @ 4.08% 3-2 @ 3.77% 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.88% 5-0 @ 1.84% 5-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.89% Total : 65.23% | 1-1 @ 8.69% 2-2 @ 5.01% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.95% | 1-2 @ 4.44% 0-1 @ 3.85% 0-2 @ 1.97% 2-3 @ 1.7% 1-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.36% Total : 15.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
17 | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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