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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 6, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Dortmund logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 1
Dortmund

Nkunku (29'), Poulsen (68')
Adams (40'), Poulsen (65'), Szoboszlai (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Reus (52')
Bellingham (31'), Reus (31'), Witsel (38'), Meunier (55'), Moukoko (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for RB Leipzig in this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
40.45%24.14%35.4%
Both teams to score 60.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.25%41.74%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.85%64.15%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2%20.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.54%53.45%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.66%23.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.7%57.29%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 40.45%
    Borussia Dortmund 35.4%
    Draw 24.13%
RB LeipzigDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 8.71%
1-0 @ 7.62%
2-0 @ 5.98%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-2 @ 3.32%
3-0 @ 3.13%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 40.45%
1-1 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 6.34%
0-0 @ 4.85%
3-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 24.13%
1-2 @ 8.07%
0-1 @ 7.06%
0-2 @ 5.14%
1-3 @ 3.91%
2-3 @ 3.07%
0-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 35.4%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Dortmund

RB Leipzig
52.6%
Draw
14.3%
Borussia Dortmund
33.1%
154
Head to Head
May 13, 2021 7.45pm
Final
RB Leipzig
1-4
Dortmund
Olmo (71')
Upamecano (45'), Olmo (81')
Sancho (5', 45'), Braut Haaland (28', 87')
Can (15'), Bellingham (25'), Dahoud (50'), Sancho (81'), Hummels (90')
May 8, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Dortmund
3-2
RB Leipzig
Reus (7'), Sancho (51', 87')
Hummels (74')
Klostermann (63'), Olmo (77')
Haidara (90+1')
Jan 9, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
1-3
Dortmund
Sorloth (90')
Sancho (55'), Braut Haaland (71', 84')
Delaney (32'), Akanji (73')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
Dec 17, 2019 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
17FC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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