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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
57.88% ( 0.4) | 21.2% ( -0.01) | 20.92% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 59.25% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.54% ( -0.48) | 38.45% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.25% ( -0.51) | 60.74% ( 0.5) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.9% ( -0.04) | 13.09% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.29% ( -0.07) | 39.71% ( 0.07) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.17% ( -0.63) | 31.83% ( 0.63) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.73% ( -0.73) | 68.26% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.4% 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.7% Total : 57.88% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.55% Total : 20.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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