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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Heidenheim

Dortmund
2 - 2
Heidenheim

Brandt (7'), Can (15' pen.)
Bensebaini (61'), Haller (82'), Can (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dinkci (61'), Kleindienst (82' pen.)
Dinkci (35'), Beste (57'), Pieringer (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Heidenheim

Heidenheim could be facing Dortmund at a bad time here after the hosts dropped points in their last match, already putting them two points behind Bayern in their quest to win their first title since 2012. The visitors have not looked completely out of their depth despite competing at this level for the first time in the club's history, but that could change to an extent on Friday, with BVB likely to run out comfortable winners in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.34%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHeidenheim
58.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 20.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 63.21% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)33.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)55.4% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)11.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.81% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)36.19% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)28.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)64.46% (0.029999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 58.34%
    Heidenheim 21.34%
    Draw 20.32%
Borussia DortmundDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.32%
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 21.34%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Heidenheim

Borussia Dortmund
89.0%
Draw
5.0%
Heidenheim
6.0%
100
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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