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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Stuttgart

B. Leverkusen
2 - 0
Stuttgart

Diaby (30'), Tah (82')
Amiri (69'), Hlozek (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zagadou (39'), Fuhrich (61'), Tomas (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 Stuttgart

There is little doubt that Leverkusen possess the attacking firepower to hurt Stuttgart, who are still awaiting their first league win on the road this season. As such, we can envisage Alonso's side racking up a third straight victory in the Bundesliga to potentially put serious distance between themselves and the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 66.4%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 14.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.88%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bayer Leverkusen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayer Leverkusen.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
66.4% (1.65 1.65) 18.97% (-0.529 -0.53) 14.62% (-1.126 -1.13)
Both teams to score 54.07% (-0.968 -0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.9% (0.103 0.1)39.1% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.57% (0.108 0.11)61.42% (-0.113 -0.11)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.06% (0.45999999999999 0.46)10.93% (-0.464 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.86% (1.013 1.01)35.13% (-1.016 -1.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.7% (-1.411 -1.41)39.29% (1.407 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24% (-1.344 -1.34)75.99% (1.338 1.34)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 66.4%
    Stuttgart 14.62%
    Draw 18.97%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawStuttgart
2-0 @ 10.52% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.51% (0.131 0.13)
3-0 @ 7.76% (0.392 0.39)
3-1 @ 7.25% (0.097 0.1)
4-0 @ 4.3% (0.293 0.29)
4-1 @ 4.01% (0.128 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.085 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.9% (0.163 0.16)
4-2 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.78% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 66.4%
1-1 @ 8.88% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-2 @ 4.59% (-0.205 -0.21)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.97%
1-2 @ 4.15% (-0.269 -0.27)
0-1 @ 4.01% (-0.178 -0.18)
0-2 @ 1.88% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.43% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.29% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 14.62%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Stuttgart

Bayer Leverkusen
85.7%
Draw
6.3%
Stuttgart
7.9%
63
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
4-2
Stuttgart
Diaby (41'), Adli (52'), Wirtz (86'), Schick (90')
Demirbay (45'), Andrich (63'), Bakker (83')
Tomas (49', 88')
Endo (51'), Mavropanos (90+4')
Sep 19, 2021 2.30pm
Stuttgart
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Mangala (38')
Karazor (63'), Coulibaly (76')
Andrich (2'), Schick (19'), Wirtz (70')
Frimpong (36'), Bakker (37'), Aranguiz (58')
Andrich (32')
Feb 6, 2021 2.30pm
B. Leverkusen
5-2
Stuttgart
Demirbay (18', 31'), Bailey (56'), Wirtz (68'), Gray (84')
Kalajdzic (50', 77')
Oct 3, 2020 2.30pm
Feb 5, 2020 5.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Stuttgart
Bredlow (72' og.), Alario (83')
Weiser (30'), Hradecky (86')
Wamangituka (85')
Castro (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen34286089246590
2Stuttgart34234778393973
3Bayern MunichBayern34233894454972
4RB Leipzig34198777393865
5Borussia DortmundDortmund34189768432563
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34111495150147
7Hoffenheim34137146666046
8Heidenheim341012125055-542
9Werder Bremen34119144854-642
10Freiburg34119144558-1342
11Augsburg34109155060-1039
12Wolfsburg34107174156-1537
13Mainz 05Mainz34714133951-1235
14Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34713145667-1134
15Union BerlinUnion Berlin3496193358-2533
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum34712154274-3233
17FC Koln34512172860-3227
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3438233086-5617


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