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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 12
Mar 28, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus - Nestor Diaz Perez

Lanus
2 - 2
Union

Carrera (45+1'), Alvarez (90+3')
Luciatti (77'), Dominguez (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Pardo (11'), Balboa (26')
Cardozo (29')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Lanus and Union.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Belgrano 0-1 Lanus
Thursday, March 21 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 2-2 C. Cordoba
Tuesday, March 19 at 12.15am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 45.95%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Union had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
LanusDrawUnion
45.95% (0.975 0.98) 29.18% (0.322 0.32) 24.87% (-1.299 -1.3)
Both teams to score 40.51% (-1.681 -1.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.75% (-1.619 -1.62)65.24% (1.616 1.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.94% (-1.145 -1.15)84.06% (1.141 1.14)
Lanus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.38% (-0.277 -0.28)28.61% (0.274 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.58% (-0.344 -0.34)64.42% (0.34100000000001 0.34)
Union Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.75% (-2.126 -2.13)43.25% (2.124 2.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.5% (-1.836 -1.84)79.5% (1.834 1.83)
Score Analysis
    Lanus 45.94%
    Union 24.87%
    Draw 29.17%
LanusDrawUnion
1-0 @ 15.48% (0.79 0.79)
2-0 @ 9.69% (0.424 0.42)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.147 0.15)
3-1 @ 3.39% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.26% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.06% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 45.94%
1-1 @ 12.97% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 12.37% (0.72 0.72)
2-2 @ 3.4% (-0.255 -0.26)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 10.37% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.362 -0.36)
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.254 -0.25)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.198 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.22% (-0.148 -0.15)
2-3 @ 0.95% (-0.132 -0.13)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 24.87%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Union
0-0
Lanus
Calderon (16'), Paz (29'), Corvalan (52')
Torres (75')
Jun 17, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 14
Union
1-1
Lanus
Machuca (61')
Vera (16'), Domina (35'), Paz (90+4')
Troyansky (69')
Braghieri (25'), Sanchez Mino (45+2'), Aguilar (90+5')
Jul 3, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 6
Union
3-0
Lanus
Juarez (20'), Machuca (64'), Aguero (66')
Ignacio Nardoni (33')

Gonzalez (48'), Cechi (72'), Cabral (73')
Gonzalez (63')
Jul 31, 2021 7.45pm
Second Phase
Lanus
1-1
Union
Sand (22')
Thaller (53'), Morel (70')
Canete (86')
Aug 25, 2019 5.15pm
Gameweek 4
Union
1-2
Lanus
Gomez Andrade (74')
Corvalan (78'), Martinez (81')
Auzqui (28'), Acosta (58')
Auzqui (34'), De La Vega (66')
rhs 2.0
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