MX23RW : Sunday, May 19 16:36:40| >> :300:86500:86500:
Independiente
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 21, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Libertadores de América
Estudiantes

Independiente
2 - 1
Estudiantes

Benegas (52'), Fernandez (57' pen.)
Vigo (37')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Godoy (82')
Rodriguez (30'), Spetale (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Argentine Primera Division clash between Independiente and Estudiantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Argentinos Jrs 2-1 Independiente
Thursday, June 16 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Estudiantes 2-1 Sarmiento
Wednesday, June 15 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division

We said: Independiente 0-1 Estudiantes

Estudiantes seem to have found the right balance to be successful this season, and their tight defensive setup might be challenging for Independiente to break down, while El Leon make the majority of their opportunities count. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Estudiantes had a probability of 23.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Estudiantes win it was 0-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.

Result
IndependienteDrawEstudiantes
50.92% (-0.907 -0.91) 25.81% (0.217 0.22) 23.27% (0.693 0.69)
Both teams to score 47.68% (0.166 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.73% (-0.18 -0.18)55.27% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.5% (-0.148 -0.15)76.5% (0.151 0.15)
Independiente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.25% (-0.458 -0.46)21.75% (0.461 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.06% (-0.706 -0.71)54.94% (0.708 0.71)
Estudiantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.94% (0.568 0.57)39.06% (-0.563 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.22% (0.527 0.53)75.78% (-0.524 -0.52)
Score Analysis
    Independiente 50.92%
    Estudiantes 23.27%
    Draw 25.81%
IndependienteDrawEstudiantes
1-0 @ 12.96% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-0 @ 9.89% (-0.204 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.03% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-1 @ 4.73% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% (-0.095 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.92%
1-1 @ 12.18% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.5% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.37% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.81%
0-1 @ 7.99% (0.177 0.18)
1-2 @ 5.73% (0.135 0.14)
0-2 @ 3.76% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 1.79% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.37% (0.035 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 23.27%

How you voted: Independiente vs Estudiantes

Independiente
33.3%
Draw
8.3%
Estudiantes
58.3%
24
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 12.30am
Estudiantes
2-1
Independiente
Boselli (46'), Rogel (53')
Del Prete (20')
Laso (61')
Laso (20'), Benavidez (22'), Fernandez (82')
Jul 26, 2021 12.15am
Estudiantes
0-1
Independiente
Manuel Insaurralde (15')
May 15, 2021 9.30pm
Estudiantes
0-0
Independiente
Independiente win 4-1 on penalties

Rogel (33'), Apaolaza (75'), Sabbag (86')

Ortega (50'), Manuel Insaurralde (87')
Ortega (59')
Aug 20, 2019 12am
Estudiantes
3-0
Independiente
Gonzalez (47'), Garcia (72'), Kalinski (83')
Mura (18'), Kalinski (37')

Figal (18'), Barboza (45')
Sep 2, 2018 5.15pm
Estudiantes
2-2
Independiente
Apaolaza (7'), Pellegrini (26')
Luguercio (28'), Erquiaga (36'), Pellegrini (51'), Zuqui (72'), Pavone (86')
Romero (49'), Romero (56')
Figal (44'), Romero (62'), Bustos (67'), Silva (72'), Hernandez (91')
Figal (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Second Phase
1River PlateRiver Plate22006066
2GimnasiaGimnasia21104224
3Independiente Rivadavia21102024
4Instituto21103214
5UnionUnion21102114
6TalleresTalleres11003123
7HuracanHuracan11003123
8Newell's Old BoysNewell's OB11002023
9Argentinos JuniorsArgentinos Jrs11003213
10Deportivo Riestra11001013
11Barracas Central11001013
12EstudiantesEstudiantes11001013
13Atletico TucumanTucuman11001013
14Racing ClubRacing10104401
15Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz201101-11
16Defensa y JusticiaDefensa201124-21
17BelgranoBelgrano201147-31
18Rosario CentralRosario100123-10
19Sarmiento100112-10
20San Lorenzo100101-10
21TigreTigre100101-10
22BanfieldBanfield100101-10
23Boca Juniors100101-10
24Velez SarsfieldVelez Sarsfield100113-20
25IndependienteIndependiente100113-20
26Platense100102-20
27LanusLanus100102-20
28Central CordobaC. Cordoba100103-30
 
First Phase
1Bath RugbyBath0
2Bath RugbyBath0


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!