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Africa Cup of Nations
Mauritius national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 2nd Leg
Mar 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
 
Chad national football team

Mauritius
1 - 2
Chad

Villeneuve (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hiver (74'), Hassan (90')
Coverage of the Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying Preliminary Round clash between Mauritius and Chad.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mauritius

Last Game: Chad 1-0 Mauritius
Friday, March 22 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Chad

Last Game: Chad 1-0 Mauritius
Friday, March 22 at 6pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mauritius win with a probability of 74.13%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Chad had a probability of 9.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mauritius win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.11%) and 3-0 (10.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.83%), while for a Chad win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result
MauritiusDrawChad
74.13% (0.087000000000003 0.09) 16.46% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08) 9.42% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 45.69% (0.255 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.77% (0.353 0.35)41.24% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.37% (0.357 0.36)63.63% (-0.356 -0.36)
Mauritius Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.42% (0.11200000000001 0.11)9.59% (-0.1099 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.94% (0.258 0.26)32.07% (-0.258 -0.26)
Chad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.54% (0.221 0.22)49.46% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.72% (0.153 0.15)84.29% (-0.152 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Mauritius 74.1%
    Chad 9.42%
    Draw 16.46%
MauritiusDrawChad
2-0 @ 13.03% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-0 @ 11.11% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-0 @ 10.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.18% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 7.17% (0.036 0.04)
4-0 @ 5.97% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.2% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.8% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.97% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.48% (0.024 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.1% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 74.1%
1-1 @ 7.83% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.74% (-0.076 -0.08)
2-2 @ 3.23% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 16.46%
0-1 @ 3.34% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.18% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 9.42%

Head to Head
Mar 22, 2024 6pm
Preliminary Round 1st Leg
Chad
1-0
Mauritius
Mouandilmadji (90+3')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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