Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.01%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-0 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Torino |
31.74% | 25.25% | 43.01% |
Both teams to score 55.69% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.18% | 47.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30% | 70% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.57% | 28.43% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.82% | 64.18% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.81% | 22.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.41% | 55.59% |
Score Analysis |
Spezia | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 7.93% 2-1 @ 7.51% 2-0 @ 4.99% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-2 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.7% Total : 31.74% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.31% 2-2 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 9.5% 1-2 @ 8.99% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 4.51% 0-3 @ 3.59% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.7% 0-4 @ 1.35% 2-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
15 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
16 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
> Serie A Full Table |