Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 43.15%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Spezia |
43.15% | 25.15% | 31.7% |
Both teams to score 56.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.62% | 47.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.4% | 69.59% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.06% | 21.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.79% | 55.21% |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% | 28.23% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.06% | 63.93% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 9.39% 2-1 @ 9.01% 2-0 @ 7.13% 3-1 @ 4.56% 3-0 @ 3.6% 3-2 @ 2.88% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.37% 4-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.39% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.19% 2-2 @ 5.7% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 7.51% 0-2 @ 4.95% 1-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 2.09% 1-4 @ 1% Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
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