Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.22%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.88%). The likeliest Genoa win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
26.07% | 25.71% | 48.22% |
Both teams to score 50.67% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.3% | 52.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.66% | 74.34% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.85% | 35.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.1% | 71.9% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.13% | 21.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.89% | 55.11% |
Score Analysis |
Genoa | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 8.04% 2-1 @ 6.39% 2-0 @ 4.2% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-2 @ 1.69% 3-0 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.06% Total : 26.07% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.69% 2-2 @ 4.86% Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-2 @ 8.88% 1-3 @ 4.71% 0-3 @ 4.5% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.79% 0-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 38 | 21 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 42 | 30 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |