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Serie A | Gameweek 5
Sep 24, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Inter logo

Empoli
0 - 1
Inter Milan


Pezzella (33'), Maleh (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dimarco (51')
Acerbi (26'), Bastoni (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 7-0 Empoli
Sunday, September 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Inter Milan
Wednesday, September 20 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Empoli 1-3 Inter Milan

Empoli can get off the mark with an overdue goal this weekend, though even if they end their drought Inter simply boast too much firepower for them to handle. A change of management may eventually have some effect on the Azzurri's ailing fortunes, but their Milanese counterparts will take charge of proceedings in Sunday's early kickoff and post a fifth league win on the spin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 62.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 15.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
15.84% (0.02 0.02) 21.79% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03) 62.37% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.67% (0.117 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.9% (0.137 0.14)49.1% (-0.134 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.83% (0.125 0.13)71.18% (-0.121 -0.12)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.2% (0.106 0.11)43.8% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.04% (0.086000000000002 0.09)79.96% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.82% (0.049999999999997 0.05)15.18% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.2% (0.091000000000001 0.09)43.8% (-0.086999999999996 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 15.84%
    Inter Milan 62.36%
    Draw 21.78%
EmpoliDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 5.49% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.27%
3-1 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.11% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 15.84%
1-1 @ 10.34% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.65% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 21.78%
0-1 @ 12.53% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 11.81% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.42% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 6.13% (0.015 0.01)
0-4 @ 3.5% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.32% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.19% (0.008 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 62.36%

How you voted: Empoli vs Inter Milan

Empoli
8.8%
Draw
5.9%
Inter Milan
85.3%
68
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2023 11.30am
Gameweek 31
Empoli
0-3
Inter Milan
Lukaku (48', 76'), Martinez (88')
Jan 23, 2023 7.45pm
May 6, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 36
Inter Milan
4-2
Empoli
Romagnoli (40' og.), Martinez (45', 64'), Sanchez (90+4')
Martinez (64')
Pinamonti (5'), Asllani (28')
Jan 19, 2022 8pm
Final
Inter Milan
3-2
Empoli
Sanchez (13'), Ranocchia (90+1'), Sensi (104')
Vecino (54')
Bajrami (61'), Radu (76' og.)
Romagnoli (77')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Empoli
0-2
Inter Milan

Luperto (29')
Ricci (52')
D'Ambrosio (34'), Dimarco (66')
de Vrij (24'), Brozovic (59'), Gagliardini (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus361813549282167
5Atalanta BCAtalanta351961065392663
6Roma361791063441960
7Lazio361851347371059
8Fiorentina351581253401353
9Napoli361312115346751
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza361112133948-945
13Lecce36813153252-2037
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15Udinese36518133552-1733
16CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
17FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
18Empoli3688202652-2632
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana36210242876-4816


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