Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
40.76% ( 0.91) | 26.15% ( 0.28) | 33.09% ( -1.19) |
Both teams to score 53.17% ( -1.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.71% ( -1.42) | 51.29% ( 1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.88% ( -1.26) | 73.12% ( 1.26) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.17% ( -0.17) | 24.83% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.59% ( -0.23) | 59.41% ( 0.23) |
Chaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.73% ( -1.45) | 29.27% ( 1.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.77% ( -1.81) | 65.23% ( 1.81) |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Chaves |
1-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 7.05% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.76% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.18) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.15% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.22) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.51% Total : 33.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 32 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 92 | 29 | 63 | 84 |
2 | Benfica | 32 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 71 | 27 | 44 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 32 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 60 | 26 | 34 | 66 |
4 | Braga | 32 | 20 | 5 | 7 | 68 | 47 | 21 | 65 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 34 | 13 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 49 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
9 | SC FarenseFarense | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 37 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 32 | 6 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 35 |
11 | Casa Pia | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 35 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 33 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 30 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 31 | 68 | -37 | 23 |
R | Vizela | 32 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | 64 | -34 | 22 |
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