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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 7, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Portimonense

Chaves
2 - 3
Portimonense

Hernandez (25' pen.), Correia (76')
Carraca (14'), Essugo (21')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Carlinhos (72'), Cassama (83'), Formiga (90+1')
Martins (45+1'), Guzzo (68'), Ventura (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 1-0 Chaves
Friday, March 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 3-5 Braga
Monday, April 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-0 Portimonense

Desperate for points, relegation-battling Chaves hold a slight home advantage against winless Portimonense. Despite Chaves' poor form, their home record against Portimonense is strong. We expect a close encounter but the hope side are likely to edge this affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 42%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
ChavesDrawPortimonense
42% (0.45 0.45) 24.83% (-0.134 -0.13) 33.16% (-0.319 -0.32)
Both teams to score 57.65% (0.358 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.5% (0.507 0.51)45.51% (-0.51 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.17% (0.481 0.48)67.84% (-0.483 -0.48)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.33% (0.42899999999999 0.43)21.67% (-0.433 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.19% (0.656 0.66)54.81% (-0.65799999999999 -0.66)
Portimonense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.6% (0.049999999999997 0.05)26.4% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.44% (0.065999999999995 0.07)61.56% (-0.07 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 42.01%
    Portimonense 33.16%
    Draw 24.83%
ChavesDrawPortimonense
2-1 @ 8.91% (0.051 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.75% (-0.077 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.029 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.084 0.08)
3-0 @ 3.41% (0.059 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.02% (0.061 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.055 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.039 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 42.01%
1-1 @ 11.65% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.042000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.83%
1-2 @ 7.76% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-1 @ 7.62% (-0.155 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.08% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.63% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.25% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 33.16%

How you voted: Chaves vs Portimonense

Chaves
61.5%
Draw
38.5%
Portimonense
0.0%
13
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 11
Portimonense
2-1
Chaves
Varela (14'), Carrillo (38')
Tornich (48'), Carlinhos (63'), Dener (85'), Amorim (89')
Sousa (87')
Correia (22'), Souza (90+6')
Mar 11, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 24
Chaves
2-0
Portimonense
Juninho (31'), Abass (73')
Sep 16, 2022 8.15pm
Gameweek 7
Portimonense
1-0
Chaves
Estrela (19' pen.)
Jan 29, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 19
Portimonense
0-1
Chaves

Tormena (32'), Martinez (53'), Possignolo (55'), Paulinho (90')
Costinha (38')
Filipe (42'), Jefferson (54'), Campi (61'), Sen (73'), Maras (90'), Lionn (95')
Aug 18, 2018 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Chaves
2-0
Portimonense
Marcao (27' pen.), Perdigao (31')
Paulinho (45'), Eustaquio (59'), Melo (70')

Nakajima (15'), Ewerton (23'), Manafa (42'), Lazaroni (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CSporting Lisbon32273292296384
2Benfica32244471274476
3Porto32206660263466
4Braga32205768472165
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes32186847341360
6MoreirenseMoreirense32147113334-149
7AroucaArouca321371253421146
8FamalicaoFamalicao32912113539-439
9SC FarenseFarense32107154546-137
10Rio AveRio Ave3261793540-535
11Casa Pia3298153648-1235
12Gil Vicente3289154051-1133
13Estoril PraiaEstoril3296174855-733
14BoavistaBoavista32710153658-2231
15Estrela Amadora32612143249-1730
16PortimonensePortimonense3277183469-3528
17ChavesChaves3258193168-3723
RVizela32410183064-3422


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