Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 63.82%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 15.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Bournemouth |
63.82% ( -0.33) | 21.04% ( 0.12) | 15.15% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 48.43% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.76% ( -0.13) | 47.24% ( 0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.53% ( -0.12) | 69.47% ( 0.12) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.88% ( -0.14) | 14.12% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.24% ( -0.28) | 41.76% ( 0.28) |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.4% ( 0.2) | 43.6% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.2% ( 0.17) | 79.8% ( -0.17) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Bournemouth |
1-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.79% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 63.81% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.03% | 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 15.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Manchester CityMan City | 37 | 27 | 7 | 3 | 93 | 33 | 60 | 88 |
2 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 71 | 61 | 10 | 63 |
6 | Chelsea | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 13 | 60 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 81 | 60 | 21 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 37 | 17 | 6 | 14 | 55 | 58 | -3 | 57 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 55 | 60 | -5 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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