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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 17, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James' Park
Bournemouth logo

Newcastle
1 - 1
Bournemouth

Isak (67' pen.)
Joelinton (69'), Burn (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Billing (62')
Christie (34'), Tavernier (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Bournemouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Newcastle United 2-0 Bournemouth

Newcastle's sturdy rearguard will prove quite the upgrade on a flaky Nottingham Forest defence for Bournemouth this weekend, and the Cherries' penchant for conceding goals away from home is apparent. The potential returns of Saint-Maximin and Guimaraes will only benefit the hosts at their St James' Park fortress, and we expect the Magpies to claim a long-awaited win before the international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 62.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Bournemouth had a probability of 16.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.21%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.1%), while for a Bournemouth win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
62.51% (0.46400000000001 0.46) 21.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 16.24% (-0.466 -0.47)
Both teams to score 50.25% (-1.001 -1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (-0.821 -0.82)46.1% (0.818 0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (-0.784 -0.78)68.4% (0.779 0.78)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.84% (-0.124 -0.12)14.15% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.17% (-0.239 -0.24)41.82% (0.235 0.23)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.54% (-1.081 -1.08)41.45% (1.077 1.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.04% (-0.965 -0.97)77.96% (0.962 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 62.51%
    Bournemouth 16.24%
    Draw 21.24%
Newcastle UnitedDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 11.47% (0.35 0.35)
2-0 @ 11.21% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-0 @ 3.57% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.107 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.4% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 62.51%
1-1 @ 10.1% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 4.35% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 21.24%
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.45% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.31% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.082 -0.08)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.24%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Bournemouth

Newcastle United
87.9%
Draw
7.2%
Bournemouth
4.9%
264
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2019 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
King (48' pen., 81')
Lerma (19'), Ibe (45'), Daniels (83')
Rondon (45'), Ritchie (94')
Perez (9'), Hayden (75')
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Newcastle
2-1
Bournemouth
Rondon (7', 40')
Schar (45'), Rondon (90')
Lerma (45')
Cook (90')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Bournemouth
2-2
Newcastle
Smith (80'), Gosling (89')
Ake (52')
Gayle (17', 45')
Ritchie (53'), Yedlin (82'), Diame (85'), Perez (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Chelsea371791175621360
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle371761481602157
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd37176145558-357
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton371212135560-548
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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