Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Everton had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Everton win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
29.64% ( 0.1) | 24.78% ( 0.03) | 45.57% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 56.18% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.3% ( -0.06) | 46.69% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.04% ( -0.06) | 68.96% ( 0.06) |
Everton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.72% ( 0.04) | 29.27% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.76% ( 0.05) | 65.23% ( -0.05) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.44% ( -0.08) | 20.56% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.92% ( -0.13) | 53.07% ( 0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.64% | 1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.78% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.97% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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