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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Villa Park
West Ham logo

Aston Villa
4 - 1
West Ham

Luiz (30', 52' pen.), Watkins (74'), Bailey (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bowen (56')
Palmieri (54')

The Match

Match Report

Douglas Luiz scores twice as Aston Villa record a 4-1 win over West Ham United in Sunday's Premier League clash at Villa Park.

Team News

Unai Emery hands a start to Nicolo Zaniolo for Aston Villa's Premier League fixture against West Ham United on Sunday afternoon.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 22.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-2 (5.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham United
54.83% (0.552 0.55) 22.26% (0.224 0.22) 22.91% (-0.776 -0.78)
Both teams to score 58.43% (-1.802 -1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.16% (-1.928 -1.93)40.84% (1.928 1.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.77% (-2 -2)63.23% (2.001 2)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.16% (-0.482 -0.48)14.84% (0.484 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (-0.932 -0.93)43.15% (0.932 0.93)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.62% (-1.716 -1.72)31.38% (1.717 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.25% (-2.037 -2.04)67.75% (2.038 2.04)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 54.83%
    West Ham United 22.91%
    Draw 22.25%
Aston VillaDrawWest Ham United
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.074 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.619 0.62)
2-0 @ 8.48% (0.454 0.45)
3-1 @ 6.25% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 5.39% (0.2 0.2)
3-2 @ 3.62% (-0.212 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.98% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.57% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.134 -0.13)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 54.83%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.231 -0.23)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.398 0.4)
3-3 @ 1.4% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 5.97% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-1 @ 5.4% (0.223 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.167 -0.17)
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.21% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 22.91%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs West Ham

Aston Villa
55.6%
Draw
25.4%
West Ham United
19.0%
142
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
West Ham
1-1
Aston Villa
Benrahma (26' pen.)
Watkins (17')
Aug 28, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 4
Aston Villa
0-1
West Ham

Cash (57'), Kamara (79')
Fornals (74')
Mar 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 29
West Ham
2-1
Aston Villa
Yarmolenko (70'), Fornals (82')
Lanzini (44')
Ramsey (90')
Oct 31, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 10
Aston Villa
1-4
West Ham
Watkins (34')
McGinn (79')
Konsa (50')
Johnson (7'), Rice (38'), Fornals (80'), Bowen (84')
Fornals (79'), Bowen (79')
Feb 3, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 22
Aston Villa
1-3
West Ham
Watkins (81')
Luiz (70')
Soucek (51'), Lingard (56', 83')
Cresswell (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


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