Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 20.08%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 1-0 (8.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.51%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal | Draw | Newcastle United |
59.09% ( 4.08) | 20.83% ( -1.38) | 20.08% ( -2.7) |
Both teams to score 59.21% ( 0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.12% ( 2.86) | 37.87% ( -2.86) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.87% ( 2.99) | 60.13% ( -2.99) |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.44% ( 2.19) | 12.55% ( -2.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.39% ( 4.36) | 38.6% ( -4.36) |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.71% ( -0.85) | 32.29% ( 0.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.21% ( -0.98) | 68.79% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.46) 3-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.55) 3-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.62) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( 0.54) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.54) 4-2 @ 2% ( 0.26) 5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.32) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.31) Other @ 3.93% Total : 59.09% | 1-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.75) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.58) 3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.57) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.78) 0-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.51) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.22) Other @ 2.43% Total : 20.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 35 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 85 | 28 | 57 | 80 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 34 | 24 | 7 | 3 | 82 | 32 | 50 | 79 |
3 | Liverpool | 35 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 77 | 36 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Aston Villa | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 73 | 52 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 52 | 15 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 54 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74 | 55 | 19 | 53 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 49 |
9 | Chelsea | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 48 |
10 | Bournemouth | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 48 |
11 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 46 |
12 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52 | 57 | -5 | 44 |
13 | Fulham | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 43 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 40 |
15 | Everton | 35 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 36 |
16 | Brentford | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 52 | 60 | -8 | 35 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 35 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 38 | 70 | -32 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 35 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 97 | -63 | 16 |
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