Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 71.92%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 11.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 3-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Colorado Rapids win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
71.92% ( 1.34) | 16.42% ( -0.68) | 11.66% ( -0.65) |
Both teams to score 54.62% ( 0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.9% ( 1.6) | 34.1% ( -1.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.02% ( 1.79) | 55.98% ( -1.79) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.69% ( 0.7) | 8.31% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.03% ( 1.71) | 28.97% ( -1.71) |
Colorado Rapids Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.57% ( 0.03) | 40.44% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.95% ( 0.03) | 77.05% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
2-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.26) 4-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.11) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.09) 6-1 @ 1% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.08% Total : 71.92% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.29) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 16.42% | 1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.16) 0-1 @ 3.04% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.49% Total : 11.66% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |