No matter the territory, Los Angeles Galaxy have shown quite the affinity for sharing the spoils in recent weeks, and they are no stranger to high-scoring affairs in El Trafico.
Having scored at least twice in each of their last six Los Angeles showdowns, Vanney's side can feel optimistic of doing so again - especially with Los Angeles FC leaking goals at an alarming rate - but with bragging rights and their podium spot at stake, we can envisage the champions earning a point in another entertaining derby.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 41.51%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.84%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Los Angeles Galaxy in this match.
-1) 
0.04) 
