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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
LA Galaxy
Major League Soccer
Mar 17, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
St Louis City

LA Galaxy
3 - 3
St Louis City

Joveljic (3'), Paintsil (51'), Yoshida (90+5')
Caceres (35'), Paintsil (45+1'), Puig (65')
Caceres (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ostrak (27'), Nilsson (60'), McCarthy (88' og.)
Totland (25'), Jackson (51'), Nilsson (70'), Adeniran (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles Galaxy and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Los Angeles Galaxy

All competitions
Last Game: Nashville 2-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, March 10 at 7pm in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 2-2 St Louis City
Sunday, March 10 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 St Louis City

 This is a fascinating contest between one of the most successful teams in MLS history and the newest club to join the division, with both teams collecting five points from their opening three matches. LA Galaxy have massively underperformed in recent seasons whereas St Louis topped the Western Conference last time out, so we can envisage an entertaining score draw when they meet on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 20.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 1-0 (7.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.23%), while for a St Louis City win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSt Louis City
59.25% (0.892 0.89) 20.51% (-0.196 -0.2) 20.24% (-0.691 -0.69)
Both teams to score 60.65% (-0.436 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.88% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)36.13% (0.065999999999995 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.77% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)58.24% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.04% (0.233 0.23)11.96% (-0.23 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.64% (0.484 0.48)37.36% (-0.48 -0.48)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-0.67699999999999 -0.68)31.12% (0.68 0.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (-0.797 -0.8)67.44% (0.801 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 59.25%
    St Louis City 20.24%
    Draw 20.51%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawSt Louis City
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.39% (0.176 0.18)
1-0 @ 7.9% (0.096 0.1)
3-1 @ 6.93% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.94% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.073 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.15% (0.12 0.12)
4-2 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.044 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.34% (0.062 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 59.25%
1-1 @ 9.23% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.095 -0.09)
0-0 @ 3.72% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 20.51%
1-2 @ 5.39% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.35% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.54% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.23% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 20.24%

How you voted: LA Galaxy vs St Louis City

Los Angeles Galaxy
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
St Louis City
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2023 1am
LA Galaxy
2-2
St Louis City
Puig (53' pen.), Sharp (82')
Mavinga (50'), Cuevas (90+3'), Cuevas (90+2')
Adeniran (4'), Klauss (28')
Nilsson (22'), Adeniran (52'), Markanich (82'), Hiebert (85')
Adeniran (60')
> Preview
Jun 11, 2023 6pm
St Louis City
1-1
LA Galaxy
Gioacchini (68')
Lowen (8'), Blom (40'), Alm (45+4'), Ostrak (83')
Aguirre (85')
Brugman (52'), Neal (54')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami1484235201528
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati138321610627
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls136522419523
4New York City FCNY City136251615120
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC136251413120
6Toronto136161619-319
7Columbus Crew124621612418
8DC United134542023-317
9Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia123542221114
10Nashville SCNashville123541619-314
11Orlando City123451420-613
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta123361615112
13CF MontrealMontreal123361626-1012
14Chicago Fire132471223-1110
15New England RevolutionNew England11218922-137

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1374222111125
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd116321913621
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles136342419521
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy135622521421
5Colorado RapidsColorado136342118321
6Austin FCAustin135441615119
7Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver125341814418
8Houston DynamoHouston125251112-117
9St Louis City123721817116
10Seattle SoundersSeattle133461516-113
11Portland TimbersPortland133462527-213
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas122551921-211
13Dallas113261216-411
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes133192232-1010
> Full Version


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