MX23RW : Saturday, May 11 19:25:45| >> :600:1083154:1083154:
Houston Dynamo
CONCACAF Champions League | First Round | 2nd Leg
Feb 28, 2024 at 3.30am UK
BBVA Compass Stadium
St Louis City

Houston
1 - 0
St Louis City

Sviatchenko (60')
Escobar (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Nerwinski (42'), Wentzel (90')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Champions League First Round clash between Houston Dynamo and St Louis City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Houston 1-1 Kansas
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

St Louis City

All competitions
CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 Salt Lake
Sunday, February 25 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 73.01%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 10.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Houston Dynamo would win this match.

Result
Houston DynamoDrawSt Louis City
73.01% (-0.17 -0.17) 16.41% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 10.58% (0.104 0.1)
Both teams to score 50.55% (0.173 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)37.32% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.47% (0.021000000000001 0.02)59.53% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.13% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)8.86% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.66% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)30.34% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.46% (0.209 0.21)44.53% (-0.215 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.44% (0.17 0.17)80.55% (-0.17699999999999 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Houston Dynamo 73%
    St Louis City 10.58%
    Draw 16.41%
Houston DynamoDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 11.58% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 9.36% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 5.67% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.06% (0.019 0.02)
5-0 @ 2.75% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.22% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 73%
1-1 @ 7.74% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 16.41%
0-1 @ 3.19% (0.015 0.02)
1-2 @ 3.13% (0.028 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.29% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.02% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 10.58%

Head to Head
Feb 21, 2024 1am
First Round 1st Leg
St Louis City
2-1
Houston
Parker (61'), Kijima (90')
Kowalczyk (72')
Clark (21'), Dorsey (88'), Segal (90+2')
Sep 17, 2023 1.30am
Houston
1-1
St Louis City
Baird (42')
Sviatchenko (8'), Escobar (22'), Herrera (25'), Carrasquilla (61')
Klauss (88')
Blom (34'), Parker (90+5')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 1.30am
St Louis City
3-0
Houston
Lowen (9' pen.), Ostrak (51'), Gioacchini (83' pen.)
Blom (45+5'), Jackson (69'), Alm (90+1')

Carrasquilla (45+5'), Franco (45+7'), Caicedo (45+2'), Olsen (46'), Bartlow (78')
> Preview
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