Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajaccio | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 63.24%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.23%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Ajaccio |
63.24% ( 0.01) | 20.91% | 15.84% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.46% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.63% ( -0.01) | 45.37% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.29% ( -0.01) | 67.71% ( 0.01) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.3% ( -0) | 13.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.07% ( -0.01) | 40.93% ( 0) |
Ajaccio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.47% ( -0.02) | 41.52% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.98% ( -0.02) | 78.02% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Ajaccio |
1-0 @ 11.3% 2-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 9.88% 3-0 @ 7.45% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.55% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.7% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.47% 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.8% Total : 63.22% | 1-1 @ 9.94% 0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.91% | 0-1 @ 5% 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
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