Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
16 | Lorient | 38 | -28 | 36 |
17 | Clermont | 38 | -31 | 36 |
18 | Saint-Etienne | 38 | -35 | 32 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Lens | 38 | 14 | 62 |
8 | Lyon | 38 | 15 | 61 |
9 | Nantes | 38 | 7 | 55 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.87%. A win for Clermont had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.66%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Clermont win was 1-0 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.
Result | ||
Clermont | Draw | Lyon |
25.38% | 23.74% | 50.87% |
Both teams to score 56.25% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.95% ( -0) | 45.05% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.6% ( -0) | 67.4% |
Clermont Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.39% ( -0) | 31.6% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.99% | 68.01% ( -0) |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.24% ( -0) | 17.75% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.55% ( -0) | 48.44% |
Score Analysis |
Clermont | Draw | Lyon |
1-0 @ 6.46% 2-1 @ 6.43% 2-0 @ 3.72% 3-1 @ 2.47% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.73% Total : 25.38% | 1-1 @ 11.17% 0-0 @ 5.61% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.74% | 0-1 @ 9.7% 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 8.38% 1-3 @ 5.56% 0-3 @ 4.83% 2-3 @ 3.2% 1-4 @ 2.4% 0-4 @ 2.09% 2-4 @ 1.39% Other @ 3.66% Total : 50.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 32 | 20 | 10 | 2 | 77 | 32 | 45 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 64 | 42 | 22 | 64 |
3 | Lille | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 32 | 18 | 58 |
4 | Brest | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 58 |
5 | Nice | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 37 | 25 | 12 | 54 |
6 | Lens | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 50 |
7 | Lyon | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 50 |
8 | Marseille | 32 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 50 | 39 | 11 | 47 |
9 | Rennes | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 46 |
10 | Toulouse | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 43 |
11 | Reims | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 39 | 46 | -7 | 41 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 33 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 38 | 66 | -28 | 26 |
R | Clermont | 33 | 5 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |