Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Las Palmas would win this match.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Celta Vigo |
43.9% ( 0.36) | 26.75% ( 0.23) | 29.35% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 49.8% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.07% ( -1.13) | 54.93% ( 1.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% ( -0.94) | 76.21% ( 0.94) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.15% ( -0.32) | 24.85% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.54% ( -0.45) | 59.46% ( 0.45) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.26% ( -1.03) | 33.74% ( 1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.61% ( -1.13) | 70.39% ( 1.13) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Celta Vigo |
1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.9% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |