Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 42.28%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 28.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.26%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
42.28% ( -0.04) | 29.54% ( 0.06) | 28.18% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 41.68% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.15% ( -0.18) | 64.85% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.21% ( -0.12) | 83.79% ( 0.12) |
Celta Vigo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.58% ( -0.11) | 30.42% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.38% ( -0.13) | 66.62% ( 0.14) |
Alaves Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.91% ( -0.11) | 40.09% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.27% ( -0.1) | 76.73% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Celta Vigo | Draw | Alaves |
1-0 @ 14.51% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.3% Total : 42.28% | 1-1 @ 13.26% 0-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.53% | 0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.1% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.38% Total : 28.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |