Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Las Palmas |
38.18% ( 1.75) | 26.66% ( 0.19) | 35.15% ( -1.94) |
Both teams to score 51.93% ( -0.72) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.94% ( -0.87) | 53.05% ( 0.87) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.36% ( -0.75) | 74.64% ( 0.74) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.96% ( 0.6) | 27.03% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.6% ( 0.78) | 62.39% ( -0.79) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% ( -1.58) | 28.82% ( 1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.32% ( -2.01) | 64.68% ( 2.01) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 10.19% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 8.29% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.24) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.12% Total : 38.18% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.65% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0.3) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.34) 1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.28) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.62% Total : 35.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |