MX23RW : Thursday, May 23 19:36:23| >> :60:644:644:
Scotland national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Hampden Park
Northern Ireland national football team

Scotland
0 - 1
N. Ireland


Gilmour (56')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bradley (32')
McCann (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Scotland and Northern Ireland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Netherlands 4-0 Scotland
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Spain82021
2Scotland8917
3Norway8211
4Georgia8-68
5Cyprus8-250
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Romania 1-1 N. Ireland
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Scotland 1-0 Northern Ireland

In their first meeting for nine years, these neighbouring nations should play out a close contest, perhaps decided by a slim margin in Scotland's favour. Always a threat at Hampden, the hosts are sure to score at least once, which could be enough to see off a young Northern Ireland side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Scotland win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 19.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Scotland win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.74%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Northern Ireland win it was 0-1 (6.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
ScotlandDrawNorthern Ireland
55.89% (0.996 1) 24.18% (-0.122 -0.12) 19.94% (-0.876 -0.88)
Both teams to score 48.09% (-0.906 -0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.48% (-0.547 -0.55)52.52% (0.547 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.81% (-0.473 -0.47)74.18% (0.471 0.47)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.34% (0.172 0.17)18.66% (-0.174 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.01% (0.288 0.29)49.99% (-0.28899999999999 -0.29)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.12% (-1.244 -1.24)40.88% (1.243 1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.55% (-1.133 -1.13)77.45% (1.132 1.13)
Score Analysis
    Scotland 55.87%
    Northern Ireland 19.94%
    Draw 24.17%
ScotlandDrawNorthern Ireland
1-0 @ 12.8% (0.34 0.34)
2-0 @ 10.74% (0.34 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.225 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.52% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.41% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.022 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.01% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 55.87%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.63% (0.164 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.3% (-0.154 -0.15)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-2 @ 5.12% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.53% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.28% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 0.91% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 19.94%

How you voted: Scotland vs N. Ireland

Scotland
83.0%
Draw
9.4%
Northern Ireland
7.5%
53
Head to Head
Mar 25, 2015 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Scotland
1-0
N. Ireland
rhs 2.0
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