MX23RW : Monday, May 20 13:43:37| >> :60:1615:1615:
Spain national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Oct 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla
Scotland national football team

Spain
2 - 0
Scotland

Morata (73'), Sancet (86')
Merino (45+4'), Carvajal (59'), Simon (61'), Laporte (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dykes (36'), Patterson (51'), Hendry (84')

The Match

Match Report

Alvaro Morata and Oihan Sancet register as Spain record a 2-0 win over Group A leaders Scotland in Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier in Seville.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Spain and Scotland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Spain could line up for Thursday's Euro 2024 qualifier against Scotland.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Spain 6-0 Cyprus
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland51115
2Spain4139
3Norway5-17
4Georgia5-84
5Cyprus5-150
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Scotland 1-3 England
Tuesday, September 12 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group A Standings P GD PTS
1Scotland51115
2Spain4139
3Norway5-17
4Georgia5-84
5Cyprus5-150

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 54.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Scotland had a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Scotland win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain would win this match.

Result
SpainDrawScotland
54.35% (1.548 1.55) 23.91% (-0.386 -0.39) 21.73% (-1.164 -1.16)
Both teams to score 51.41% (-0.297 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.6% (0.345 0.34)49.4% (-0.344 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.55% (0.308 0.31)71.44% (-0.30900000000001 -0.31)
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.92% (0.718 0.72)18.07% (-0.718 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.01% (1.215 1.22)48.99% (-1.216 -1.22)
Scotland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.75% (-0.921 -0.92)37.25% (0.921 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.97% (-0.921 -0.92)74.03% (0.92100000000001 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Spain 54.35%
    Scotland 21.73%
    Draw 23.91%
SpainDrawScotland
1-0 @ 11.51% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 9.85% (0.312 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.068999999999999 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.62% (0.302 0.3)
3-1 @ 5.55% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.74% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.4% (0.181 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.123 0.12)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 54.35%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.18 -0.18)
0-0 @ 6.73% (-0.094 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.65% (-0.265 -0.27)
1-2 @ 5.62% (-0.235 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.218 -0.22)
1-3 @ 1.85% (-0.126 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 21.73%

How you voted: Spain vs Scotland

Spain
69.1%
Draw
14.0%
Scotland
16.9%
178
Head to Head
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Scotland
2-0
Spain
McTominay (7', 51')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!