Europa League | Group Stage
Nov 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg5 - 0Backa Topola
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Freiburg 3-3 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-3 Freiburg
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, October 26 at 5.45pm in Europa League
We said: Freiburg 3-0 Backa Topola
Streich should not need to go with a full-strength side to pick up three points here, but if matchday three's hat-trick hero Grifo starts, then another healthy scoreline could be in the offing. TSC may need a win to keep any realistic hope of progression alive, even as a third-place Europa Conference League entrant, but this task looks insurmountable for the Serbian runners-up. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 54.94%. A win for Backa Topola had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Backa Topola win was 1-2 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.37%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Backa Topola |
54.94% ( -0.01) | 22.34% ( 0) | 22.72% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.89% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.56% ( -0.01) | 41.44% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.16% ( -0.01) | 63.84% ( 0.01) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.99% ( -0.01) | 15.01% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.52% ( -0.01) | 43.48% ( 0.01) |
Backa Topola Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.12% ( -0) | 31.88% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.68% ( 0) | 68.32% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg 54.94%
Backa Topola 22.72%
Draw 22.33%
Freiburg | Draw | Backa Topola |
2-1 @ 9.84% 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.61% 3-1 @ 6.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.55% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.9% Total : 54.94% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 2-2 @ 5.62% 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 2.6% Total : 22.72% |
How you voted: Freiburg vs Backa Topola
Freiburg
89.1%Draw
9.1%Backa Topola
1.8%55
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-14 19:00:42
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 84 | 41 | 43 | 79 |
4 | Aston Villa | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 76 | 56 | 20 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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