Europa Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
Jan Breydelstadion
Brugge3 - 0Aarhus
Coverage of the Europa Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Club Brugge and Aarhus.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Feyenoord 2-0 Brugge
Wednesday, July 12 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Wednesday, July 12 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Aarhus 1-0 Vejle
Sunday, July 23 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Sunday, July 23 at 1pm in Danish Superliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club Brugge win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Aarhus had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club Brugge win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Aarhus win was 0-1 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club Brugge would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Brugge | Draw | Aarhus |
44.25% ( -0.04) | 25.03% ( 0) | 30.72% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
