MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 12:27:54| >> :120:53460:53460:
Red Bull Salzburg
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 3, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Real Sociedad logo

Salzburg
0 - 2
Real Sociedad


Solet (41'), Pavlovic (76'), Struber (77'), Baidoo (88')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Oyarzabal (7'), Mendez (27')
Le Normand (15'), Mendez (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Red Bull Salzburg and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austria Lustenau 0-4 Salzburg
Saturday, September 30 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Red Bull Salzburg 1-1 Real Sociedad

Tuesday's meeting could see both Salzburg and Sociedad share the spoils, with a low-scoring tie on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 44.6%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 28.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Red Bull SalzburgDrawReal Sociedad
44.6% (0.939 0.94) 26.51% (-0.767 -0.77) 28.89% (-0.169 -0.17)
Both teams to score 50.28% (2.155 2.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.82% (2.812 2.81)54.18% (-2.809 -2.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.41% (2.299 2.3)75.59% (-2.295 -2.3)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (1.73 1.73)24.18% (-1.727 -1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.49% (2.393 2.39)58.51% (-2.39 -2.39)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (1.362 1.36)33.68% (-1.359 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (1.454 1.45)70.34% (-1.45 -1.45)
Score Analysis
    Red Bull Salzburg 44.6%
    Real Sociedad 28.89%
    Draw 26.5%
Red Bull SalzburgDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 11.56% (-0.7 -0.7)
2-1 @ 8.93% (0.248 0.25)
2-0 @ 8.21% (-0.074 -0.07)
3-1 @ 4.23% (0.317 0.32)
3-0 @ 3.88% (0.156 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.249 0.25)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.18 0.18)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 44.6%
1-1 @ 12.58% (-0.27 -0.27)
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.934 -0.93)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.306 0.31)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 8.86% (-0.657 -0.66)
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.105 0.11)
0-2 @ 4.82% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.127 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.171 0.17)
0-3 @ 1.75% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 28.89%

How you voted: Salzburg vs Real Sociedad

Red Bull Salzburg
36.7%
Draw
27.1%
Real Sociedad
36.2%
188
Head to Head
Feb 22, 2018 8.05pm
Round of 32
Salzburg
2-1
Real Sociedad
Dabbur (10'), Berisha (74' pen.)
Schlager (9'), Dabbur (32')
Navas (28')
Navas (24'), Illarramendi (90')
Navas (71')
Feb 15, 2018 6pm
Round of 32
Real Sociedad
2-2
Salzburg
Odriozola (57'), Januzaj (80')
Rulli (28'), Illarramendi (36'), Moreno (41'), Prieto (72'), Elustondo (83')
Oyarzabal (27' og.), Minamino (90')
Hee-Chan (41'), Ramalho (60'), Samassekou (62'), Yabo (74'), Caleta-Car (79'), Dabbur (83')
rhs 2.0
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