Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 36.95%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
34.83% ( 0.68) | 28.22% ( 0.14) | 36.95% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 47.11% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.92% ( -0.45) | 59.08% ( 0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.47% ( -0.35) | 79.53% ( 0.35) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.96% ( 0.22) | 32.04% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.5% ( 0.24) | 68.5% ( -0.24) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% ( -0.72) | 30.68% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.07% ( -0.86) | 66.93% ( 0.86) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.82% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.21% | 0-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.23% Total : 36.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 36 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 83 | 22 | 61 | 93 |
2 | Barcelona | 35 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 76 |
3 | GironaGirona | 36 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 75 | 45 | 30 | 75 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 35 | 22 | 4 | 9 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 57 | 35 | 22 | 62 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 55 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 54 |
8 | Villarreal | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 60 | 60 | 0 | 51 |
9 | Valencia | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 48 |
10 | Getafe | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 43 |
11 | AlavesAlaves | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
12 | Sevilla | 35 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 47 | 49 | -2 | 41 |
13 | Osasuna | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 41 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 37 |
15 | Mallorca | 36 | 7 | 15 | 14 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 36 |
16 | Rayo Vallecano | 35 | 7 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 35 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 34 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 35 | 5 | 14 | 16 | 24 | 49 | -25 | 29 |
R | Granada | 35 | 4 | 9 | 22 | 36 | 68 | -32 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 35 | 2 | 11 | 22 | 35 | 70 | -35 | 17 |
> La Liga Full Table |