MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 02:52:05| >> :120:18912:18912:
Real Sociedad logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Reale Arena
Red Bull Salzburg

Real Sociedad
0 - 0
Salzburg


Elustondo (38')
FT

Dedic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Real Sociedad and Red Bull Salzburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 3-2 Hartberg
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Austrian Bundesliga

We said: Real Sociedad 3-1 Red Bull Salzburg

Real Sociedad have been arguably the revelation of this Champions League campaign so far, sealing progression after just four games, and will hope for a favour from Benfica to boost their chances of winning the group heading into a matchday six encounter with Inter. Salzburg dropping into the Europa League would give them a huge chance to be competitive, but it is likely to go down to the final matchday, as it will be a big ask for them to get a result here given Real's form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Red Bull Salzburg win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 34.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Red Bull Salzburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Real SociedadDrawRed Bull Salzburg
34.15% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 25.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 40.19% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.05% (0.0049999999999955 0)48.95% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.96% (0.0040000000000013 0)71.04% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)27.46% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05% (0.016000000000005 0.02)62.95% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Red Bull Salzburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)24.07% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.65% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)58.35% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Real Sociedad 34.15%
    Red Bull Salzburg 40.19%
    Draw 25.66%
Real SociedadDrawRed Bull Salzburg
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 7.86% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 5.52% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.39% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.15%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.66% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.7% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-3 @ 4.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.66%
1-4 @ 1.46% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 40.19%

How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Salzburg

Real Sociedad
87.1%
Draw
7.8%
Red Bull Salzburg
5.2%
116
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Salzburg
0-2
Real Sociedad

Solet (41'), Pavlovic (76'), Struber (77'), Baidoo (88')
Oyarzabal (7'), Mendez (27')
Le Normand (15'), Mendez (59')
Feb 22, 2018 8.05pm
Round of 32
Salzburg
2-1
Real Sociedad
Dabbur (10'), Berisha (74' pen.)
Schlager (9'), Dabbur (32')
Navas (28')
Navas (24'), Illarramendi (90')
Navas (71')
Feb 15, 2018 6pm
Round of 32
Real Sociedad
2-2
Salzburg
Odriozola (57'), Januzaj (80')
Rulli (28'), Illarramendi (36'), Moreno (41'), Prieto (72'), Elustondo (83')
Oyarzabal (27' og.), Minamino (90')
Hee-Chan (41'), Ramalho (60'), Samassekou (62'), Yabo (74'), Caleta-Car (79'), Dabbur (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City37277393336088
2Arsenal37275589286186
3Liverpool372310484414379
4Aston Villa37208976562068
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs371961271611063
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle361761379572257
7Chelsea361691173611257
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd36166145256-454
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham371410135971-1252
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton361212125458-448
11Bournemouth37139155365-1248
12Crystal Palace371210155258-646
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves37137175063-1346
14Fulham37128175159-844
15Everton37139153949-1040
16Brentford37109185461-739
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3789204766-1929
18Luton TownLuton3768235081-3126
RBurnley3759234076-3624
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd37372735101-6616


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!