MX23RW : Wednesday, May 15 21:53:35| >> :600:87402:87402:
Benfica
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Inter logo

Benfica
3 - 3
Inter Milan

Mario (5', 13', 34')
Mario (72'), Morato (78'), Schmidt (90')
Silva (86')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Arnautovic (51'), Frattesi (58'), Sanchez (72' pen.)
Cuadrado (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Benfica and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Famalicao
Saturday, November 25 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal

We said: Benfica 0-1 Inter Milan

A rotten campaign could well continue for Benfica, as they face an Inter side in imperious form. Despite their fine domestic start, Benfica have looked miles off it on the continent, especially in the reverse where the Nerazzurri were utterly dominant despite the narrow scoreline, and any sort of repeat will yield the same outcome here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
BenficaDrawInter Milan
42.6% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.93%31.47% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 53.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.17% (0.0039999999999978 0)50.83% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.71% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.31% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.69% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.2% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)57.8% (0.012 0.01)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.89% (0.016000000000005 0.02)30.11% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.75% (0.018999999999998 0.02)66.25% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 42.6%
    Inter Milan 31.47%
    Draw 25.92%
BenficaDrawInter Milan
1-0 @ 10.27%
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 4.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 2.56%
4-1 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 42.6%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 7.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.56% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 5.14% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.47%

How you voted: Benfica vs Inter Milan

Benfica
19.9%
Draw
18.7%
Inter Milan
61.4%
166
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Inter Milan
1-0
Benfica
Thuram (62')
Martinez (67'), Barella (68'), Dumfries (70'), Asllani (90+5')
Apr 19, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 2nd Leg
Inter Milan
3-3
Benfica
Barella (14'), Martinez (65'), Correa (78')
Aursnes (38'), Silva (86'), Musa (90+5')
Apr 11, 2023 8pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Benfica
0-2
Inter Milan
Barella (51'), Lukaku (82' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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