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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 2, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Weserstadion
Mainz logo

Werder Bremen
4 - 0
Mainz

Ducksch (3' pen.), Stage (53'), Bittencourt (82'), Njinmah (83')
Stage (10'), Friedl (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hanche-Olsen (2'), van den Berg (65'), van den Berg (65+65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 1-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, August 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Mainz 05

Neither side are likely to be particularly confident after failing to win either of their opening two matches apiece, and there could be an element of cancelling each other out given that both managers adopt similar formations. However, there is enough quality in both teams' offensive units to produce an entertaining enough encounter, and we can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides who should have enough about them to avoid being automatically relegated. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.67%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
33.21% (-0.128 -0.13) 23.84% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 42.94% (0.1 0.1)
Both teams to score 61.2% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.13% (-0.175 -0.18)40.86% (0.172 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.74% (-0.178 -0.18)63.25% (0.17599999999999 0.18)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.158 -0.16)24.15% (0.156 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.226 -0.23)58.46% (0.221 0.22)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.69% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)19.31% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.93% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)51.06% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 33.21%
    Mainz 05 42.94%
    Draw 23.84%
Werder BremenDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 7.74% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.63% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.02% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.23% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.3% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.21%
1-1 @ 10.89% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.37% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.66% (0.036 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.84%
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.67% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.31% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 4.91% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 3.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.46% (0.018 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.02%
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.42% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 42.94%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Mainz

Werder Bremen
39.3%
Draw
33.9%
Mainz 05
26.8%
56
Head to Head
Apr 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 27
Mainz
2-2
Werder Bremen
Ajorque (85'), Weiper (90+3')
Stage (87'), Fullkrug (90+5')
Oct 15, 2022 2.30pm
Apr 21, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Werder Bremen
0-1
Mainz

Sargent (63')
Szalai (16')
Boetius (66'), Zentner (83')
Dec 19, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 13
Mainz
0-1
Werder Bremen

Barreiro (73'), Niakhate (82')
Dinkci (90')
Eggestein (50'), Gross (90+5')
Jun 20, 2020 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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