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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 22, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
SV Darmstadt

Stuttgart
3 - 1
SV Darmstadt 98

Millot (22'), Guirassy (32', 90+2')
Undav (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Zagadou (17' og.)
Pfeiffer (8'), Lieberknecht (9'), Holland (45+1'), Riedel (62'), Skarke (71'), Stojilkovic (77'), Schnellhardt (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 1-3 Stuttgart
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Stuttgart 3-1 SV Darmstadt 98

Stuttgart have every reason to feel optimistic of claiming maximum points on Friday considering their strong start to the new season. Darmstadt know what it takes to beat Die Roten on the road after coming away from the Mercedes-Benz Arena victorious in their last visit, albeit three years ago, but we expect the in-form hosts to claim a comfortable win this time around. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Stuttgart in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stuttgart.

Result
StuttgartDrawSV Darmstadt 98
51.79% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 22.99% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 25.22% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 58.63% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.18% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)41.82% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.78% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)64.22% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)16.23% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)45.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.99% (0.0019999999999953 0)30.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.87% (0.0020000000000024 0)66.13%
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 51.79%
    SV Darmstadt 98 25.22%
    Draw 22.98%
StuttgartDrawSV Darmstadt 98
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 5.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 2.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.79%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 5.83%
0-0 @ 4.87% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.42%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 6.41% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.86% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.57% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.34%
0-3 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 25.22%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs SV Darmstadt 98

Stuttgart
88.2%
Draw
7.5%
SV Darmstadt 98
4.3%
93
Head to Head
Jun 28, 2020 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Stuttgart
1-3
SV Darmstadt 98
Mangala (46'), Churlinov (63')
Palsson (65'), Dumic (68'), Dursun (73')
Palsson (66')
Dec 16, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
SV Darmstadt 98
1-1
Stuttgart
Kempe (20')
Holland (47')
Sosa (45')
Ascacibar (40'), Wamangituka (47'), Al Ghaddioui (75'), Endo (85'), Forster (87')
Apr 2, 2016 2.30pm
SV Darmstadt 98
2-2
Stuttgart
Wagner (26'), Gondorf (52')
Niemeyer (62'), Jungwirth (70'), Rausch (88'), Heller (90')
Gentner (45'), Rupp (45')
Klein (90')
Nov 1, 2015 2.30pm
Stuttgart
2-0
SV Darmstadt 98
Garics (68' og.), Werner (94')
Tyton (33'), Die (54'), Klein (58')

Garics (61'), Diaz (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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