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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Heidenheim

Mainz
0 - 1
Heidenheim


Krauss (38'), Ajorque (44'), Gruda (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pieringer (12')
Gimber (30'), Busch (34'), Beste (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Koln 0-0 Mainz
Sunday, December 10 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Mainz 05 2-1 Heidenheim

While a draw will not be surprising, Mainz could inflict another away loss on Heidenheim, whose next defeat on the road would be their seventh. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawHeidenheim
47.47% (0.184 0.18) 23.69% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05) 28.84% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 59.4% (0.068000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.76% (0.133 0.13)42.24% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.36% (0.134 0.13)64.64% (-0.131 -0.13)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82% (0.122 0.12)17.99% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.14% (0.21 0.21)48.85% (-0.20800000000001 -0.21)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.43% (-0.023999999999987 -0.02)27.57% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.91% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)63.09% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 47.47%
    Heidenheim 28.84%
    Draw 23.69%
Mainz 05DrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.013 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.3% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.38% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.46% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.79% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.49% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 3.67%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 10.96% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.06% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.49% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 7.06% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.39% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.12% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.6%
0-3 @ 1.77% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 28.84%

How you voted: Mainz vs Heidenheim

Mainz 05
53.3%
Draw
26.7%
Heidenheim
20.0%
15
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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