MX23RW : Monday, May 13 23:38:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Leverkusen logo

Hoffenheim
2 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Stach (56'), Weghorst (58')
Weghorst (45+3'), Kabak (48'), Promel (60')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wirtz (9'), Grimaldo (45+1', 70')
Hradecky (72'), Tah (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hoffenheim 1-3 Bayer Leverkusen

Hoffenheim's chances of winning will significantly increase should Kramaric return to start as expected, but they have actually performed better on the road this season, with 15 of their 18 points coming on their travels. Likewise, Leverkusen have gained 10 points from four away games, and they will be confident of making it six wins in a row in the Bundesliga as they attempt to extend their lead at the summit. We expect them to do so in what should be an entertaining encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.28%) and 0-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.98%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 2-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
19.86% (-4.467 -4.47) 20.16% (-2.061 -2.06) 59.98% (6.53 6.53)
Both teams to score 61.31% (0.971 0.97)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.03% (4.145 4.15)34.97% (-4.142 -4.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.04% (4.485 4.49)56.96% (-4.482 -4.48)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-1.531 -1.53)30.79% (1.533 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (-1.847 -1.85)67.07% (1.85 1.85)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59% (3.293 3.29)11.4% (-3.29 -3.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.83% (6.708 6.71)36.17% (-6.705 -6.71)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 19.86%
    Bayer Leverkusen 59.98%
    Draw 20.16%
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 5.29% (-0.937 -0.94)
1-0 @ 4.14% (-1.146 -1.15)
2-0 @ 2.44% (-0.81 -0.81)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.192 -0.19)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.473 -0.47)
3-0 @ 0.96% (-0.374 -0.37)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 19.86%
1-1 @ 8.98% (-1.149 -1.15)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.228 -0.23)
0-0 @ 3.51% (-0.787 -0.79)
3-3 @ 1.63% (0.068 0.07)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.16%
1-2 @ 9.75% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.28% (0.372 0.37)
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.62 -0.62)
1-3 @ 7.06% (0.845 0.85)
0-3 @ 5.99% (0.937 0.94)
2-3 @ 4.16% (0.338 0.34)
1-4 @ 3.83% (0.852 0.85)
0-4 @ 3.25% (0.829 0.83)
2-4 @ 2.26% (0.425 0.43)
1-5 @ 1.66% (0.521 0.52)
0-5 @ 1.41% (0.482 0.48)
2-5 @ 0.98% (0.277 0.28)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 59.98%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen

Hoffenheim
6.3%
Draw
6.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
87.5%
64
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Hoffenheim
1-3
B. Leverkusen
Nsoki (77')
Andrich (6'), Diaby (46'), Hlozek (56')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
B. Leverkusen
0-3
Hoffenheim

Diaby (56')
Baumgartner (9'), Kramaric (35'), Rutter (78')
Kabak (57'), Rutter (74'), Angelino (83'), Akpoguma (86')
May 7, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Hoffenheim
2-4
B. Leverkusen
Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Hoffenheim
Schick (37', 63')
Diaby (21'), Odilon (60'), Tapsoba (85'), Hincapie (86')
Diaby (90+2')
Stiller (80'), Dabour (83')
Rudy (21'), Raum (28'), Dabour (88')
Apr 12, 2021 7.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen33276087236487
2Bayern MunichBayern33233792415172
3Stuttgart33224774393570
4RB Leipzig33197775373864
5Borussia DortmundDortmund33179764432160
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt33111394948146
7Hoffenheim33127146264-243
8Freiburg33119134456-1242
9Heidenheim33912124654-839
10Augsburg33109144958-939
11Werder Bremen33109144453-939
12Wolfsburg33107164053-1337
13Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach33713135663-734
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum33712144170-2933
15Mainz 05Mainz33614133650-1432
16Union BerlinUnion Berlin3386193157-2630
17FC Koln33512162756-2927
RSV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3338223082-5217


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