MX23RW : Friday, June 7 14:35:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Flamengo
Brasileiro | Gameweek 10
Jun 11, 2023 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Gremio

Flamengo
3 - 0
Gremio

Everton (24'), Pedro (65'), Henrique (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kannemann (55'), Suarez (81'), Uvini (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Flamengo and Gremio, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Flamengo

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-1 Racing
Friday, June 9 at 1am in Copa Libertadores

Gremio

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, June 4 at 8pm in Brasileiro

We said: Flamengo 1-1 Gremio

 Given their plethora of fresh concerns and perennial defensive concerns on the road, no sheets should be clean on Gremio's side this week, but the in-form visitors boast the much fresher set of legs. Sampaoli is still blessed with options for change, but Flamengo's Copa Libertadores exploits will likely catch up to them, and both teams' winning streak could be brought to a halt in a tense draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 67.59%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 13.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.

Result
FlamengoDrawGremio
67.59% (1.271 1.27) 19.13% (-0.327 -0.33) 13.27% (-0.946 -0.95)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-1.525 -1.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.08% (-0.673 -0.67)42.92% (0.672 0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.68% (-0.671 -0.67)65.32% (0.669 0.67)
Flamengo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.28% (0.149 0.15)11.71% (-0.151 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.17% (0.319 0.32)36.83% (-0.32 -0.32)
Gremio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.35% (-1.826 -1.83)43.65% (1.826 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.16% (-1.552 -1.55)79.84% (1.552 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Flamengo 67.58%
    Gremio 13.27%
    Draw 19.13%
FlamengoDrawGremio
2-0 @ 11.75% (0.48 0.48)
1-0 @ 10.96% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
3-0 @ 8.4% (0.393 0.39)
3-1 @ 6.97% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
4-0 @ 4.51% (0.236 0.24)
4-1 @ 3.74% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.156 -0.16)
5-0 @ 1.93% (0.112 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.6% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.55% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 67.58%
1-1 @ 9.09% (-0.131 -0.13)
0-0 @ 5.11% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.244 -0.24)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 19.13%
0-1 @ 4.24% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-2 @ 3.77% (-0.251 -0.25)
0-2 @ 1.76% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 1.04% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 13.27%

How you voted: Flamengo vs Gremio

Flamengo
83.3%
Draw
0.0%
Gremio
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Nov 24, 2021 12am
gameweek 2
Gremio
2-2
Flamengo
Sep 20, 2021 12.30am
gameweek 21
Flamengo
0-1
Gremio

Isla (62'), Henrique (84'), Caio (90+3')
Borja (45+3')
Borja (41'), Thiago (47'), Vanderson (70'), Ferreira (85')
Jan 28, 2021 11pm
gameweek 23
Gremio
2-4
Flamengo
Souza (40', 85')
Souza (19'), Barbosa (46'), Kannemann (71'), Henrique (87'), Pinares (90+7')
Ribeiro (57'), Barbosa (60'), De Arrascaeta (66'), Isla (90+3')
Henrique (26'), Henrique (55'), Vitinho (90+7')
Aug 19, 2020 11.15pm
gameweek 4
Flamengo
1-1
Gremio
Barbosa (89' pen.)
Luis (34'), Barbosa (34'), Lucas (52')
Pepe (45')
Souza (7'), Kannemann (86'), Geromel (87')
Nov 17, 2019 7pm
gameweek 33
Gremio
0-1
Flamengo

Alisson (79')
Barbosa (37' pen.)
Piris (30'), Rodinei (65'), Barbosa (74')
Barbosa (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FlamengoFlamengo7421136714
2Bahia7421107314
3Botafogo7412137613
4Sao Paulo7412126613
5Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR741294513
6BragantinoBragantino733196312
7PalmeirasPalmeiras732254111
8Atletico Mineiro6240104610
9FortalezaFortaleza624064210
10InternacionalInternacional531153210
11Cruzeiro631289-110
12JuventudeJuventude623178-19
13Gremio520345-16
14Fluminense7133913-46
15Vasco da GamaVasco7205717-106
16CriciumaCriciuma41217435
17Corinthians712436-35
18Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO711549-54
19Vitoria7025513-82
20Cuiaba6015011-111
> Brasileiro Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!