Brasileiro | Gameweek 9
Jun 6, 2023 at 12am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Vasco1 - 4Flamengo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Fortaleza 2-0 Vasco
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 2-0 Fluminense
Friday, June 2 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Friday, June 2 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
We said: Vasco da Gama 1-2 Flamengo
Given the rivalry that these two have built up, this match should be full of intensity and drama, knowing what this means to both fan bases. We expect Vasco to have an early edge seeing as Flamengo have only had a few days to rest in between games, but Urubu are rarely phased when incurring a setback, and they should be able to take control of this encounter and eventually find those openings. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 32.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Flamengo would win this match.
Result | ||
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Flamengo |
32.74% ( 0.95) | 26.72% ( 0.14) | 40.54% ( -1.1) |
Both teams to score 51.29% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.34% ( -0.32) | 53.65% ( 0.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.85% ( -0.27) | 75.15% ( 0.27) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.32% ( 0.48) | 30.67% ( -0.48) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.08% ( 0.56) | 66.92% ( -0.57) |
Flamengo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.98% ( -0.73) | 26.01% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.95% ( -0.98) | 61.04% ( 0.98) |
Score Analysis |
Vasco da Gama 32.74%
Flamengo 40.54%
Draw 26.71%
Vasco da Gama | Draw | Flamengo |
1-0 @ 9.43% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.74% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.71% | 0-1 @ 10.74% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 3.84% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.28% Total : 40.54% |
How you voted: Vasco vs Flamengo
Vasco da Gama
15.4%Draw
15.4%Flamengo
69.2%13
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2021 12am
Nov 14, 2019 12.30am
Aug 17, 2019 11pm
gameweek 15
Vasco
1-4
Flamengo
Castan (58')
Henrique (42'), Barbosa (51', 62'), De Arrascaeta (83' pen.)
de Arrascaeta (80'), Rodinei (91'), Piris da Motta (95')
de Arrascaeta (80'), Rodinei (91'), Piris da Motta (95')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-28 18:21:22
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 13 |
2 | Bahia | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 13 |
3 | FlamengoFlamengo | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 11 |
4 | Botafogo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 5 | 10 |
5 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Cruzeiro | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
7 | Atletico Mineiro | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
8 | BragantinoBragantino | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
9 | PalmeirasPalmeiras | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
10 | FortalezaFortaleza | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
11 | InternacionalInternacional | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
12 | Gremio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
13 | Vasco da GamaVasco | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 6 |
14 | CriciumaCriciuma | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
15 | JuventudeJuventude | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Corinthians | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 5 |
17 | Fluminense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
18 | Vitoria | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
19 | Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
20 | Cuiaba | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | -10 | 0 |
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