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Uzbekistan national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 26, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Milliy Stadion

Uzbekistan
3 - 0
Hong Kong

Shomurodov (20'), Erkinov (63'), Urunov (70')
Masharipov (68'), Sayfiyev (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kit Tsui (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Uzbekistan and Hong Kong, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Hong Kong 0-2 Uzbekistan
Thursday, March 21 at 12pm in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

We said: Uzbekistan 3-1 Hong Kong

Uzbekistan are flying at the moment and will certainly take some stopping here. We are backing the home side to cruise to a routine win at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 78.39%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Hong Kong had a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.92%) and 3-0 (12.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.94%), while for a Hong Kong win it was 0-1 (3.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
UzbekistanDrawHong Kong
78.39% (-0.206 -0.21) 15.24% (0.162 0.16) 6.37% (0.045 0.04)
Both teams to score 35.36% (-0.263 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.26% (-0.534 -0.53)46.73% (0.535 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31% (-0.499 -0.5)69% (0.501 0.5)
Uzbekistan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.08% (-0.18599999999999 -0.19)9.92% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.15% (-0.434 -0.43)32.85% (0.435 0.44)
Hong Kong Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
39.26% (-0.21 -0.21)60.74% (0.21 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
8.97% (-0.1049 -0.1)91.02% (0.10599999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Uzbekistan 78.37%
    Hong Kong 6.37%
    Draw 15.24%
UzbekistanDrawHong Kong
2-0 @ 16.08% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
1-0 @ 13.92% (0.2 0.2)
3-0 @ 12.38% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.16% (-0.073 -0.07)
3-1 @ 6.18% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 3.57% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-0 @ 3.31% (-0.062 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.54% (-0.025 -0.03)
6-0 @ 1.27% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 78.37%
1-1 @ 6.94% (0.051 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.03% (0.134 0.13)
2-2 @ 2% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 15.24%
0-1 @ 3.01% (0.047 0.05)
1-2 @ 1.73%
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 6.37%

How you voted: Uzbekistan vs Hong Kong

Uzbekistan
58.3%
Draw
16.7%
Hong Kong
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Mar 21, 2024 12pm
rhs 2.0
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12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
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14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
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16Brentford38109195665-939
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