World Cup Qualifying - North Central America | Third Round
Mar 28, 2022 at 12am UK
USA5 - 1Panama
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: USA 0-0 Uruguay
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Sunday, June 5 at 10pm in International Friendlies
Next Game: USA vs. Grenada
Saturday, June 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Saturday, June 11 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Panama 1-0 Canada
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Thursday, March 31 at 2.05am in World Cup Qualifying - North Central America
Next Game: Panama vs. Martinique
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, June 10 at 1am in CONCACAF Nations League
We said: USA 2-0 Panama
The US have only lost twice at home to Panama in their entire history, but we do not anticipate them dropping a third this weekend. Los Canaleros desperately need points, which could leave them exposed to a few counters, and we do not expect this American team to miss those chances like they did earlier this week in Mexico. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 62.04%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Panama had a probability of 15.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Panama win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that USA would win this match.
| Result | ||
| USA | Draw | Panama |
| 62.04% | 22.48% | 15.47% |
| Both teams to score 44.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
