The Match
Match Report
Richarlison scores a brace as Brazil beat Serbia 2-0 in their World Cup 2022 Group G opener at the Lusail Iconic Stadium.
Team News
Neymar, Vinicius Junior, Raphinha and Richarlison all start for Brazil in their opening 2022 World Cup fixture, while Aleksandar Mitrovic leads the line for Serbia.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup clash between Brazil and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Serbia could line up for Thursday's 2022 World Cup Group G opener with Brazil.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brazil 5-1 Tunisia
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last Game: Bahrain 1-5 Serbia
Friday, November 18 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
Friday, November 18 at 3.30pm in International Friendlies
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Brazil | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Serbia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 50.68%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Serbia had a probability of 23.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Serbia win it was 0-1 (7.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brazil would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brazil | Draw | Serbia |
50.68% ( -1.14) | 25.69% ( 0.05) | 23.62% ( 1.09) |
| Both teams to score 48.4% ( 1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
