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Australia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Mar 21, 2024 at 9.10am UK
ANZ Stadium
Lebanon national football team

Australia
2 - 0
Lebanon

Baccus (5'), Rowles (54')
Atkinson (61'), Baccus (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and Lebanon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Australia 1-2 South Korea
Friday, February 2 at 3.30pm in Asian Cup
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Tajikistan 2-1 Lebanon
Monday, January 22 at 3pm in Asian Cup

We said: Australia 3-0 Lebanon

Lebanon have proven themselves hard to break down and defeat in the World Cup qualifiers so far, but this will be their toughest test to date. The host should end up having too much quality in this one, so we are backing them to live up to their status as firm favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 49.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Lebanon had a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Lebanon win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
AustraliaDrawLebanon
49.75% (-0.0010000000000048 -0) 27.1% (0.0030000000000001 0) 23.16% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 44.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.15% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)59.85% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)80.12% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Australia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)24.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Lebanon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.24% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)41.76% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.77% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)78.23% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Australia 49.74%
    Lebanon 23.16%
    Draw 27.08%
AustraliaDrawLebanon
1-0 @ 14.34%
2-0 @ 10.16%
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 49.74%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 3.88%
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 27.08%
0-1 @ 8.83%
1-2 @ 5.47%
0-2 @ 3.86%
1-3 @ 1.59% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.13%
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.16%
Total : 23.16%

How you voted: Australia vs Lebanon

Australia
93.1%
Draw
0.0%
Lebanon
6.9%
29
Head to Head
Nov 20, 2018 8.30am
International Friendlies
Australia
3-0
Lebanon
Boyle (19', 41'), Leckie (68')
Sainsbury (82')

Jradi (70')
rhs 2.0
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